Madrid lead Barcelona by six points at the top of the table. Extend that to nine on Saturday’s El Clasico and Luis Enrique’s side
will need to produce something that would rewrite the history books to retain their title.
Only one team has ever won LaLiga from a nine-point deficit in the league’s history, although Barca fans will take
heart from that side being one of their own.
Louis van Gaal’s 1998-99 vintage were nine points behind Real Mallorca in December 1998, but won 19 of their next 24
games to top the league by a whopping 11 points from Madrid come May.
That Mallorca side, however, were a mercurial outfit, the wispy Ariel Ibagaza their creative heartbeat.
Zidane’s Madrid are a more efficient unit which many onlookers have wrongly judged to lack personality.
It is interesting that one of the most gifted players of a generation, if not all time, opts for safety and security
as his central theme, but Zidane’s 4-3-3 system offers exactly that.
Of course the talented trio of Gareth Bale, Karim Benzema and Cristiano Ronaldo are capable of fireworks and Luka
Modric is one of this era’s most silken playmakers, but Zidane will be ecstatic that Casemiro has returned to his
side ahead of this clash after two months out with a fractured leg.
Rafa Benitez felt under pressure not to utilise him, despite a desire to, but Zidane’s standing at the club means he
can select the team as he sees fit and a midfielder offering protection to a back four that can be as adventurous as
it is solid is vital.
Only Villarreal have conceded fewer goals than Madrid this season. Of course, for all the claims of their defensive
focus, they are still top scorers. An astonishing 20 different players have found the net for Madrid in all
competitions this season, the most recent was Zidane’s son Enzo in the Copa del Rey.
That form has helped Madrid go 32 games unbeaten under Zidane, winning 25 of those, and a 26th victory this weekend
would be the sweetest of them all.
THE NUMBERS GAME
Both Madrid and Barca have suffered key absences in midfield this season, with Modric and Andres Iniesta falling to
injury. The numbers suggest Zidane has coped with that better than Luis Enrique, as both playmakers prepare to play
– Barca have averaged 3.1 goals per game in the nine games Iniesta has played this term, that figure dips to 2.4
when the captain is unavailable.
– By contrast, Madrid have stepped up in Modric’s absence. Perhaps losing the Croatian’s scheming prompts them to
go more direct as their goals-per-game rate jumps from 2.5 to 3.6.
– When Modric is laid low, Madrid’s replacements have proved valuable. Marco Asensio has scored in every
competition so far this term, while Isco has contributed two goals and three assists.
– Luis Enrique’s second string has been second rate. Andre Gomes is yet to score or assist a goal this term and has
played only 62.8 per cent of his passes in opposition territory, compared to Iniesta’s 73.4 per cent.
– Returning from knee ligament damage, Iniesta will hope his greater experience in this fixture can shine through.
The Barca skipper was instrumental in the 4-0 win at the Santiago Bernabeu last season, scoring and assisting.
– Modric has been involved in five El Clasico wins from 10 outings, but his ability to shine in the fixture has been
less apparent, with just one assist in that time.